It is a stormy night sometime in the winter of 1694 off the
poorly charted western shore of Australia . The Dutch trading vessel Ridderschap Van
Holland is foundering in the heavy swells.
She is the flagship of the Dutch trading fleet and had sailed from Cape
of Good Hope on February 5th with 300 crew and two passengers; they
never arrived and were presumed lost at sea.
Two years later the Dutch sailing Captain Willem de Vlamingh went
searching for survivors with an expedition of three ships. The mission was a failure as no survivors or
clues were ever discovered. On the
return trip the expedition charted the western shores of Australia
thereby improving navigation on the Indian ocean route
to the Dutch east Indies . On January 10th of 1697 de Vlamingh ventured
up the swan river; they were the first Europeans to ever do so. He named it Zwaanernenriver, which is
Dutch for Swan River....after seeing huge numbers of Black Swans, which until
that day were considered an impossibility since all swans are white.
Following this discovery the English coined the term "black swan" as a statement of impossibility flowing from the assumption that all swans are white. The importance of the simile is it's analogy to the fragility of any system of thought. Any set of conclusions are potentially undone once any fundamental postulates are disproved. The Black Swan Theory was developed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his 2004 book, Fooled by Randomness which was primarily concerned with the world of finance. His next book in 2007 expanded the Black Swan Theory to encompass societal & political realities on Earth as well as the financial angle.
Identifying a Black
Swan Event
Taleb's general advice is to not so much try to predict
black swan events as it is to prepare and brace yourself against negative
outcome events. Taleb saw the black swan
as something different, and set aside form the ordinary unexpected events which
occur across our world with ever increasing frequency. The black swan is in fact; a set of circumstances
which must all be present for it to be considered a true black swan event. Taleb lists three conditions that identify a true black swan
event. [BSE]
1. The event is a
complete surprise, taking everyone off guard,
such as the sudden failure of Lehman Brothers, or the
disaster at Fukushima .
2. The event has a
major impact on the world.
3. After the event, it is rationalized by
hindsight as if it could have been expected.
The Usual Suspects
Once we know what to look for we can easily identify some of
the major black swan events of the past as noted above. With that perspective we can also take stock
of the current state of the human condition, and make some educated guesses as
to the identity of possible future BSE's. Listed here are the eight leading contenders
for a world changing black swan event:
1. Severe Pandemic
2. Accelerated climate change
3. Collapse of the
Euro zone economy
4. A Democratic, or collapsed China
5. A reformed Iran
6. Nuclear war - WMD
or Cyber attack
7. Coronal Mass Ejection from our Sun
8. America
falls.
Although some of these scenarios are being currently
discussed these days; which is what makes them the usual suspects, we must
remember that by their very nature BSE's possess a magnitude which surprises
even those who were clued in. In other
words, it's only a black swan event for the turkey, not the butcher, the trick
is, don't be the turkey!
To give you some perspective on just how strange things have
become. When I moved to Alaska
to live in the remote wilderness it was because I sought to isolate myself from
the madness of modern life, and prepare for some very uncertain times
ahead. My family and friends called me a
survivalist and thought I was nuts for doing it. Today we see so many people doing exactly
what I did in 1979 they even have their own TV reality show. They call them preppers and these days my family and friends think I'm
nuts for not doing it!
Been there, done that! The idea
is to make sensible preparations and contingency plans for yourself that work
for your situation. What works for one
may be unfeasible to another.
Furthermore, since those days so long ago I have come to see and know so
much more than I did then. I still see
Earth as a very dangerous place to get along on but you cannot focus on the negative
so much you become obsessive. It blinds
you to other, more spiritual awareness's which I believe are as fundamental to
survival as food and water, perhaps even more so. Never get locked into a single world view.
In the case of widespread severe pandemic there is little
one can do beyond some rudimentary precautions and living a healthy life
style. This potential BSE has the ability to wipe mankind from the
face of the Earth in a worst case scenario.
Once released it could race across the globe with every transcontinental
airline flight and be well established by many days or even weeks before we
even knew it was there, depending on whether it is Ebola, Sars, Hanta virus, Avian
Flu, or any one of a hundred genetically created "viral agents" that Darpa
has secretly cooked up.
As for usual suspect number three all I can say once again,
is look around at what has been happening in recent weeks; in Greece ,
and of course in Cyprus . It's the bailout boogaloo song & dance,
just another scheme to grab simply everything before the bell rings and the
balloon goes up. It's all a contrived carefully orchestrated scheme to not just
steal all the money, but to leave millions of people broke and powerless in a
most dangerous point in our history. You
may have noticed how "they" are also suddenly obsessed with
confiscation all our weapons too.
Hmmm People who are broke,
starved & unarmed might just hop on those FEMA
busses a lot more quietly and passively, especially if promised food. History shows us many examples where those in
power use food as a weapon of mass compliance.
It works! So, if the EU
collapses, as it certainly appears it might, don't you believe for a moment it
won't impact the entire world, as the dominoes continue to fall.
Black swan suspect number four, the China
card. Over the last several decades they
have been spending themselves into contention as a world power first, then an
economic power. Clearly they have their
eye on the long game, inscrutable as ever including a desire to assimilate the
west, and especially us here in America . The people of China ,
weary after generations of austere totalitarian rule, are slowly starting to
gain influence as the communist party continues to erode, it's days clearly
being numbered. some experts predict China
could go democratic within ten to fifteen years. It's hard to say what would have the biggest
global impact, China
going democratic, or going under. Each
would present it's own unique results, and I believe could be equally
devastating. The Chinese hold no desire
to be one among equals, the seek to dominate. Period.
A reformed Iran could stabilize the middle east, possibly
even uniting them under a common goal, pushing the United States completely out
of the region altogether. If this were
to happen it would not only impact global economy, but could lead to a
conflagration we humans have never witnessed before. There is a reason why the US
seems so hell bent on painting Iran
as the evil empire and it has nothing to do with Iran 's
ability for self defense and everything to do with them being one of the few
countries left who refuse to be controlled by the Rothschild's monetary
system. Wars have been started over
much less, which makes this number five on the list of usual suspects.
For number six we have to look no further than what is
currently unfolding on the Korean peninsula with that demented tiny tike
threatening nuclear war three times a day for a couple weeks now; and the US
administration egging him on, almost daring him to push the
button. As we all know by now wars do
not just happen spontaneously out of thin air.
They are designed, crafted and choreographed like Swan Lake to
achieve specific political goals of conquest and resource control, and this
most recent Korea
debacle is no different. The whole
reason I've been writing these last several posts, with scant time between them
is because I can sense the elite's endgame ramping up, the signs are simply
everywhere, and cleverly dressed up to not seem any more dangerous than on any
other day living under the shadow of nuclear conflagration. More on this Korea
thing in a minute but right now I want to move on to suspect number seven.
As we know the sun goes through cycles of roughly eleven
years, culminating in a time of peak activity called the solar maximum. Science is discovering that the sun also has
other cycles, as all stars do, which are on an entirely different
timetable. Like living organisms, stars
also have a life cycle, and while ours is relatively young and robust as stars
go, it is this very robustness that has it in seventh place as a suspect BSE. For
many decades now we have witnessed and recorded things like dark spots, and
solar flares across the face of the sun.
These solar flares sometimes cause interference with our satellites, and
we must plan human excursions into near space to avoid them as they can be
dangerous. In another category of
magnitude all together is something known as a coronal mass ejection, or CME for short...which is where massive
globs of the suns surface are exploded violently out into space. The reason Earth has seen some of the most
amazing aurora borealis ever this year is due to increased solar activity and
electromagnetic storms, only partly due to the eleven year solar max cycle. A while back there was one of these CME events on the sun; it spat a fiery glob
of plasma and star stuff way out into space. About that
last event there is both good & bad news.
The bad news is the mass ejected from the sun traveled nearly the entire
distance to Earth. The good news is it
wasn't pointed our way...that time. A CME is what they call an ELE, or Extinction Level Event, a kill shot
which destroys all life on this world.
Any Questions?
Our final BSE candidate is the one closest to our hearts, the fall of
Not to put too fine a point on it; but just this week in Arkansas ,
on the same day, 40 miles apart they had a nuclear accident and an oil
spill. They used to say "You
just can't make this stuff up" but any more; that certainly isn't the
case what with the track record humanity has for false flag events. Speaking of which, I said more on Korea
so here we go. Just like we are supposed
to, I pretty much ignored the ravings of North
Korea 's Kim Jong Un for the first few
days, considering that I wouldn't even know they existed were it not for the
broadcast media...which kinda begs yet another question regarding whether
our controlled press is being truthful as they so often aren't. But anyway, today I hear two things on the
same newscast that jabbed my psyche like an olympic javelin. The first was the new, latest wargasm
teaser from the young 'un - saying he has given his "final approval"
for a nuclear attack on America 's
west coast: (where I reside) and going on to mention his array of
suitcase nukes. Minutes later I hear
that San Francisco international airport (50 miles from me) is shut down
pending the arrival of air force one with Obama aboard who is in town for a
$34,000 dollar a plate fund raising dinner!
I don't know about fundraising but that news sure raised the hairs up on
the nape of my neck as an arctic chill raced down my spine, and I overheard my
subconscious screaming; "This is it, Dealey Plaza all over again
and this time my ass is on the X."
I was a bit more relaxed about this before the game was moved into my back
yard!
After what we have seen our government capable of; and by
this I of course refer to the entire 911 false flag attack, nothing they do now
that they are desperate would much surprise me at all...sad to say. In my minds eye I can easily see the whole
thing at work; a masterpiece of simplicity.
Kim Un plays his role by behaving badly on the world stage because they
told him doing so would help bolster his power.
Then they send Obama to raise funds in San
Francisco ,(a city 'they' loathe) as if to wiggle the fresh meat under Un's
nose, adding more drama to the street theater of the absurd. My minds eye can also easily see the
possibility that Kim Un might never have said a single word they say he did, and
that the same entities who killed JFK are about to sacrifice another
presidential martyr to their cause...using the same tired old "wag the dog" gambit.
What they didn't want you to discover
Now this next doesn't have to do so much with a BSE as it does the cowardly, craven politicians who stole something more valuable than money from the young people of America. Specifically the generation born between 1980 and 1995. The great shining lie discovered that this group actually outnumbered us baby boomers, and as such would make an unstoppable block of voters were they to ever become politically active, and see things for what they really are. If this group ever organized and pushed for social reform like the youth in China do, they could change the world, for the better. So they got you addicted to banal TV shows full of glib & glitter but not much substance. They distracted you with your own music and artificial culture. They crippled the education system, and replaced it with brain candy & crap. Next they jacked your music and gave you back top10 pop stations, and clear channel. They destroyed your art replacing it with the most brainless reality programming possible, and now you know why it's called programming. They did all this hoping you kids would just keep hitting that bong & doing those drugs and staying loose so they could control everything without interference from your peeps. They punked a generation and got away with stealing their futures as they took them right out of the equation. Marginalized. I'd be really pissed, actually.
That Whole April 19th
Thing
Over the last couple of decades there are certain things
I've learned to pay close attention to; and one of them is that whole April the
19th thing. The elites, powers that be,
whatever we call them, they have an obsessive penchant for specific number sets
and dates. An excellent recent example
is 9/11/01 and 3/11/11 , you see? It goes on and on like that with this bunch
however for today we shall confine our selves to just the April 19 thing. Certainly the number 19 is of some
significance although I have no clue as to exactly what. To gain a better perspective on this notion
that significant events happen on that day let's have a look at the record, as
these events ...
All happened on April 19th.
1939 - Connecticut
finally ratifies the Bill of Rights. [148 Yrs. late]
1941 - Bulgarian
troops invade Macedonia .
1943 - Jews attack
Nazi forces in Warsaw ghetto.
1944 - allied fleet
attacks Sabang, Sumatra
1948 - Chiang
Kai-Shek elected Nationalist China's president
1948 - ABC Network
begins
1951 - General
McArthur Quits
1962 - NASA takes the
experimental X-15 prototype to 46,900 miles
1967 - Surveyor III
lands on the moon
1971 - The USSR
launches 1st manned space station. Salyut-7
1971 - Charles Manson
sentenced to life
1972 - United
States detonates a nuclear test device at
the Nevada site.
1973 - USSR
detonates a nuclear test device at Semipalitinsk
1975 - India
launches its first satellite into orbit
1978 - Yitzak Navron
elected as 5th Israeli President
1983 - France
detonates a nuclear test device
1985 - USSR
detonates another nuclear test device
1985 - NASA's 16th
space shuttle launches into orbit
1987 - USSR
underground nuclear test conducted
1989 - Gun turret
aboard the battleship Iowa
exploded killing 47
1993 - The Branch
Davidian WACO massacre
1995 - The Oklahoma
City bombing
2005 - Pope Ratzinger
[recently resigned] elected to office
2006 - Han Myung-Sook
elected as South Korea
Prime Minister
2011 - Fidel Castro
quits as Cuban President.
Especially with the coming 7th anniversary of South Korean Prime Minister Han Myung-Sook's rise
to power occurring on the 19th, Kim Un's ranting may seem a bit less hollow! An additional note of interest is that the 'pre-conditioning'
continues the night of April 15th this year with the debut of
the Sci-Fi channel's latest dystopian psycho-drama to keep us full to the brim
and overflowing with fear and loathing; called Defiance. Be sure to tune in just in case you aren't
already sufficiently scared out of your wits.
For many years now the elites have favored building sophisticated
underground bunkers, vaults, and in the case of the ever more mysterious new
Denver international airport; entire underground cities. (Care to guess which airport Obama flew in from?) Why would they spend so much wealth & treasure digging all these bunkers like the one at Mount Weather? Because the elites know something totally devastating is about to happen. The pace at which these projects are
undertaken has quickened considerably in recent years, and in fact I believe
they were renovating the white house not too long ago, I recall the newscaster
said something about putting in a new wine cellar for the president.
Ascension or
Assimilation?
Among the good news; and there is actually a lot out there, (it
just gets swept under the carpet) is the fact that the entire
government isn't all evil. There
are authentic human beings quietly working within the system, who do
what they can to slow it down, de-rail planned events, toss a shoe or two into
the works. Remember a few years back,
the story about how nuclear arms were almost flown cross-country,
without orders or authorization; under the wings of an aging B-52 bomber? Recall that one? I do. the whole nasty mess was being done under the
'radar' so to speak because Cheney & Blackwater wanted to kick start
a nuclear war in the mid east. Those
nukes weren't going overseas folks, the bastards intended to use them right
here on American soil, just like 911, to justify starting the world on fire. The reason the whole plan failed was on
account of an airman named Blue, who refused to be intimidated, and blew
the whistle on the whole nasty mess. A
while later he died under very unusual circumstances; just like all those
witnesses to the JFK murder, and all those microbiologists who have
mysteriously died since 911? How about
the suspicious 2002 death of senator
Paul Wellstone? Or Lee Oswald & Jack Ruby; and the beat goes on, and on
just like that. Take solace in the
knowing that each one of these silent, invisible warriors within the corrupt
system might just be a kind of black swan themselves. Things are not always as they appear,
especially nowadays.
In the silence at the heart of things we humans are
embarking upon the homeward bound leg of a journey lasting many thousands of
years. The things we are facing now are
but the final exam for that homeward trek.
Some will remain here, on this dying 4th dimensional Earth to work out
their karma or whatever, waiting for their time to be right to
leave. Others are ready now, and
preparing themselves for the next step in human evolution, ascending into the
fifth dimension. Like so many other
things, it is a simple choice, and each will decide according with the needs
and dictates of their soul, and higher self.
Each persons choice will be made in accordance with what that individual
soul needs in order to remain fluid within the eternal order of procession.
There is no them or us, good or bad, right or wrong in all
this, it just is! Those recently
awakened ones have it the worst I think, having to grasp so many huge, convoluted
subjects & ideas so quickly, then to process &
integrate the new knowledge on the fly!
So when you meet one, stop and welcome them to the world of the fifth
sun, help them if you can and if you can't don't stand in their way because you
just never know...
Bob Dylan once taught us that those not busy being born are
busy dying and I for one am glad he is
around to see what that really looks like, because we may need him again before
we're done with all this. A good friend
of mine in Alaska has a big
poster over the fireplace mantle that says, "My life was half way over
before I figured out it is a do-it-yourself kind of job." I'm remembering that tonight I suppose
because it kinda describes the way out of this place. We certainly need to avail ourselves of the
very best information we can find, add that to what we already know; and then
try to intuit our way along. I have a
sneaking suspicion that the final exam is going to be heavy on intuition, so
never discount or devalue yours...it might just save your life someday.
The Black swan is on the wing
http://beforeitsnews.com/alternative/2013/04/a-hopi-elder-speaks-the-moment-has-come-2610530.html *
http://zen-haven.com/third-of-us-west-coast-children-hit-with-thyroid-problems-following-fukushima/
http://thediplomat.com/2013/02/13/5-ways-china-could-become-a-democracy/
http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-03-06/home/31126333_1_unemployment-rate-economy-black-swan
http://www.davidicke.com/headlines/82173-arkansas-hit-with-nuclear-accident-and-major-oil-spill
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory
http://news.stanford.edu/news/2012/november/black-swan-risk-111612.html
http://www.alternet.org/147-people-destroying-world
http://video.pbs.org/video/2276855477/**
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/22/books/chapters/0422-1st-tale.html?pagewanted=all&_r=1
http://www.historyorb.com/events/april/19
http://beforeitsnews.com/japan-earthquake/2013/02/radiation-of-the-pacific-ocean-in-the-next-10-years-japan-nuclear-disaster-video-2441044.html*
http://www.auroraborealispage.net/solarmax.html
http://zen-haven.com/third-of-us-west-coast-children-hit-with-thyroid-problems-following-fukushima/
http://thediplomat.com/2013/02/13/5-ways-china-could-become-a-democracy/
http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-03-06/home/31126333_1_unemployment-rate-economy-black-swan
http://www.davidicke.com/headlines/82173-arkansas-hit-with-nuclear-accident-and-major-oil-spill
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory
http://news.stanford.edu/news/2012/november/black-swan-risk-111612.html
http://www.alternet.org/147-people-destroying-world
http://video.pbs.org/video/2276855477/**
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/22/books/chapters/0422-1st-tale.html?pagewanted=all&_r=1
http://www.historyorb.com/events/april/19
http://beforeitsnews.com/japan-earthquake/2013/02/radiation-of-the-pacific-ocean-in-the-next-10-years-japan-nuclear-disaster-video-2441044.html*
http://www.auroraborealispage.net/solarmax.html
I don't believe they have nuclear weapons as portrayed. Do you honestly think they wouldn't have used them already?
ReplyDeleteNeither do I care if they do. One way or another this farce ends and if the entire earth goes with it so be it.
Bring it on!
A-nony-mous~
DeleteThanks for reading, and I cannot say I can argue with your position as this shit can really be a serious drag. All we can do now is to stay frosty, stay alert, and help each other if we can.
On an slightly different note; I can't help but notice there are at least two of you commenters using the "anonymous" handle with no photo avatar. Now this fine as frogs hair on Friday morning, except it already gets a little confusing as I have to stop and figure out which 'anonymous' I'm talking to. Besides, there are only about a bajillion anonymous users on the inter-cybernet-web...so I guess our individual creativity is suffering from all the chemtrails & poison food. There is a site called Gravatar where you can create your own unique username & photo icon, which shows up everywhere on the web. It's really quite cool, it's FREE, so, for those who might be interested here is the link https://en.gravatar.com/
Use it or don't ~ but if I end up with 10 different identical 'anonymous'posters, I will have no choice but to make up my own nicknames for each of you...and that could be fun as well; so I guess it's a win-win situation. :)
I updated the gmail account with a photo and name.
DeleteWill send this comment as test.
FYI.
Wander Br~ Looks GR8 One less anonymous person on the interwebcybernet, My work is done for today :) Many sincere thank for hanging out here & reading my thoughts. BYOB!
DeleteDear brother Chautauqua.
ReplyDeleteI will comment on the last item "The Fall of America".
Will the personal perspective of a Brazilian born in May 1969 so his childhood and adolescence still under the specter of the cold war in the world at the same time, more internally the output from a military dictatorship to democratization in Brazil.
My awakening came as a snap of a hypnotist's fingers closing the session.
It seemed that all my researches and curiosities that made me hungry for information on virtually any topic that falls in front of me, and apparently were distinct from each other disciplines, UFOs, Spirituality
Science fiction (search eternal life), reincarnation, physics and mathematics, sacred geometry, politics, mafias, wars, religions, etc., a hell confusãodos understand something looking from that perspective.
It was a giant shock, much more fascinating at the same time.
It was almost miraculous.
Everything started to make sense.
I realized that I had to relearn everything again about almost everything, and learn a host of new things.
The internet is what has saved us, but thousands of traps are posted by their tracks.
I began to learn to follow my intuitions, walking through this minefield search of the holy grail.
With another glance started to educate myself again, subject by subject and I do not ever conclude.
Now, at this time, we are living what we came to preparing the various and varied incarnations.
This is the life in which we tested in the school final exam human.
Dear Chautauqua.
I will comment on the last item "The Fall of America".
Will the personal perspective of a Brazilian born in May 1969 so his childhood and adolescence still under the specter of the cold war in the world at the same time, more internally the output from a military dictatorship to democratization in Brazil.
My awakening happened on December 19, 2012, and it was like a snap of a hypnotist's fingers closing the session.
It seemed that all my researches and curiosities that made me hungry for information on virtually any topic that falls in front of me, and apparently were distinct from each other disciplines, UFOs, Spirituality
Science fiction (search eternal life), reincarnation, physics and mathematics, sacred geometry, politics, mafias, wars, religions, etc, confusion Devils looking to understand something that perspective.
It was a giant shock, much more fascinating at the same time.
It was almost miraculous.
Everything started to make sense.
I realized that I had to relearn everything again about almost everything, and learn a host of new things.
The internet is what has saved us, but thousands of traps are posted by their tracks.
I began to learn to follow my intuitions, walking through this minefield search of the holy grail.
With another glance started to educate myself again, subject by subject and I do not ever conclude.
Now, at this time, we are living what we came to preparing the various and varied incarnations, I thought.
This is the life in which we tested in the final exam of the school that is planet Earth.
If so, what will happen to the United States, I thought to look critically at the country that sets the destiny of the world.
naste.de.sursa.de.lumina@gmail.com
Continued ......
ReplyDeleteI was almost depressed when I realized the size of Karma Collective that America has to solve this short and decisive point in time influx of humanity as a species.
And the worst part is that most Americans (World) has no idea that his soul is making a move in the game of life, that will define your luck for the next thousand years.
I fully agree with you, when he describes this situation in one of his post.
This stinky karma ironically comes in the form of what Americans always proud, and rightly so, to the latest technology.
Vaccines, genetically modified foods, drones, mesmerizing media, haarp, satellites, nano, etc..
All at once, while also being used to subdue the U.S. civilian population.
Even worse, the fact that among awake, there is no unity in the way we defend this Nazi-Fascist-Socialist, despotic, corrupt, arrogant liar and murderer government.
Nonviolent resistance or armed?
Armed resistance means having to kill brothers not awake, being used by Arcondes.
This will only help to make more robust the collective Karma. Not to mention the individual, who can say by by to rise this test.
More thereof.
But what to do when a mentally controlled, unable to feel empathy, soldier of the security department, is about to destroy your family or any human being in front?
The omission would not be too severe a failure of spiritual conduct?
This is my dilemma.
Is it only me?
Regardless of how they will give the resistance, the fact is that if America falls, the possibility of the rest of the world follow it is quite large.
My hope hangs on a worldwide awakening.
But do not bet all my chips in this event, even that not every waking is aware that the challenges are spiritual, not earthly.
Then I followed praying and watching.
As usual, I enjoyed reading your post.
Hug and Ligh.
naste.de.sursa.de.lumina@gmail.com
Anon~ You bring up many deep & vexing ideas my friend, a truly deep thinker. The spiritual path is not a necessarily straight or level one, distractions wait to pull us into other directions and the great shining lie seeks to silence our dissenting voices at each turn. Perhaps this is why the old saying advises that it would be easier to walk a razors edge! If this shit was easy...everyone would be doing it. Many thanks for sharing your thoughts today, I value your insights, and visitors here will be enriched by both. Namaste!
DeleteChautauqua,
ReplyDeleteThanks for the tip about Gravatar, as you can see I've used it! That's Ozzy and Georgia my longtime friends. They are Marley and Frankie's predecessors :)
BTW, I now know what Chautauqua is, wink!